2026-10-27 · contested story

Affordability remains Texas voters' top issue, with economy, jobs rank secondAffordability remains Texas voters' top issue, with economy, jobs rank second

Across 49 sources, a consistent empirical finding emerges: affordability and cost of living is the dominant concern for voters heading into the 2026 midterms, with the economy and jobs ranking second. In Texas specifically, this manifests in a surprisingly competitive statewide landscape, with Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton in several Senate polls (NBC News shows Talarico 46%-43%; fox7austin reports a 6-point lead; Bentham's Bulldog/TPOR shows a 4-point lead) while Republican Gov. Greg Abbott maintains a narrower-than-usual edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa. The NBC5 Dallas/Telemundo poll crystallizes the issue hierarchy: 'the top issues identified were the economy and jobs at 24%, inflation and the cost of living at 23%, immigration and the border at 18%, and healthcare at 10%.' Rising gas prices tied to a war with Iran, high housing costs, grocery inflation, and utility bills recur across virtually every source regardless of lean.

How each side frames it

left
"Trickle-down economics is not a theory, it is theft."
"America's middle class is buckling under the weight of an affordability crisis under President Donald Trump just months ahead of the crucial midterm elections"
"delivering Donald Trump an ugly blow heading into the midterms"
"It's the billionaires waging war against the rest of us, and right now the billionaires are winning"
"Trump called the affordability crisis a “scam” and a Democrat-crafted “con job” during a Cabinet meeting"
center
"the top issues identified were the economy and jobs at 24%, inflation and the cost of living at 23%, immigration and the border at 18%, and healthcare at 10%"
"For the last three months, I've paid $800 at a home that I'm never at during the daytime for electricity."
"While the group describes itself as nonpartisan, it is run by Luke Warford, a Democrat who ran for the Texas Railroad Commission in 2022."
"about half of likely voters in a recent Fox News poll said they worried Paxton was too close to the president; nearly as many were concerned Talarico was too liberal"
"You can easily be a woman who is fiscally conservative, socially liberal, and vice versa"
right
"Republicans hold a narrow lead on affordability. But ask those same voters what future they want for the country, and the contrast is striking"
"The socialists of both parties want things to cost less. Only free markets can make that so."
"the promise that you can make life more affordable without actually making anything cheaper. Call it affordability theater."
"Democrats didn't just run up the score in deep-blue enclaves. With power prices soaring, they flipped two Georgia utility-regulator seats"
"everything is bigger in Texas — including its economy, as residents get richer, population booms"

What each side left out

The left left out — covered by the New York Post & Just The News & New York Post
The left left out — covered by the Reason & The Dispatch
The right left out — covered by the NBC News & fox7austin.com & Salon
The right left out — covered by the Los Angeles Times & The Daily Beast & Common Dreams
The center left out — covered by the Reason & Common Dreams

What's actually true?

[verified] Among all Texas voters, the top issues are the economy and jobs (24%), inflation and cost of living (23%), immigration (18%), and healthcare (10%)
[verified] Affordability/cost of living is voters' top concern heading into the 2026 midterms
[verified] Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race, within or near the margin of error
[contested] Rising gas prices have been driven largely by Trump's war with Iran
[verified] Trump has dismissed the affordability issue, calling it a 'hoax,' 'scam,' or 'con job'
[unverified] Consumer prices rose 3.7 percent year-over-year in September, up from 3.4 percent in August
[verified] A conservative group's survey found swing voters trust Republicans over Democrats on affordability 44% to 39%
[unverified] Texas home prices have risen roughly 50 percent since 2020

The narrative clash

Which party voters trust more on affordability/cost of living
Left: By a 15-point margin, Democrats are considered the party that would better handle inflation and prices at a time when the cost of living and the economy are voters' top concerns
Right: When asked what party they trust more to bring down costs for Americans, 44% of respondents said Republicans, 39% said Democrats and 16% said they don't trust either party to help
Whether Trump's policies have improved or worsened affordability
Left: nearly two-thirds of voters (63%) say the administration has made the economy worse, compared with 52% in September 2025, including one-quarter of Republicans
Right: Day by day, we're making America affordable again. It's going to be affordable again at a really record pace
State of the Texas economy
Left: one in five Texas children live in poverty
Right: the Lone Star State is generating more wealth for the average resident than it did just a few years ago, a sign that the state's economy is getting stronger, not just larger

49 sources analyzed

MSNBC Bentham's Bulldog fox7austin.com New York Post City Journal The Daily Beast Los Angeles Times KETR New York Post City Journal The Daily Beast Los Angeles Times Click 2 Houston KPRC New York Post City Journal Salon Los Angeles Times New York Post City Journal Salon Los Angeles Times Boston Herald Common Dreams CNN Boston Herald Common Dreams CNN Boston Herald Common Dreams CNN The Dispatch Mother Jones NBC News The Dispatch Common Dreams NBC News The Dispatch Mother Jones NBC News Reason Mother Jones NBC News Reason The Washington Post Reason The Washington Post Just The News The Washington Post Just The News